Posted on Friday, 22nd July 2011 by Emily Smith
EUROPEAN markets enjoyed a respite from trouble today; equities rose, along with the euro, and yields on Spanish and Italian debt fell back. There’s no enduring good news here, however. Rather, traders are probably taking profits while they await the outcome of this Thursday’s emergency summit. And beneath the main indexes, trouble continues to build.
In a new debt auction, yields on Spanish 12-month and 18-month bonds rose sharply from the last debt sale; the yield on the latter rose to 3.912%, up from 3.26% a month ago. Spain will return to markets again on Thursday, when it will auction off €2.75 billion in long-term debt. Right now, the market yield on long-term debt is over 6%. If that’s what Spain gets from markets in its new auction, the sustainability of its government finances will face new doubts. The Spanish government is on the brink; at lower interest rate levels its debts are manageable, but at higher rates it might well prove insolvent. This is why confidence is key. But there seems to be little urgency within the euro-zone’s leadership regarding the need to get ahead of contagion.
Meanwhile, the economic picture continues to darken. Bu
